MIN at WPG, 2026-10-13

Tuesday, October 13, 2026

Minnesota Wild

Winnipeg Jets

Expected goals, MIN–WPG: 2.5–2.7; all situations, empty nets out
WPG share of xG: 52.0%; 50% is even
Shots on goal: 21–25; MIN–WPG
Pre-game model: WPG 46%; win chance, model game-0.2

The story

The Jets beat the Wild 5-2 in a game the chances had about even, 2.7 expected goals to 2.5. The Jets scored three straight at one stage. Three points for Mark Scheifele: one goal and two assists. Kyle Connor has scored in 3 straight games.

Mark ScheifeleBig night
Three points for Mark Scheifele: one goal and two assists. He has 1 goal this season. He played 16:19 and had three shots on goal. It finished 5-2 for the Jets.
Kyle ConnorStreak
Kyle Connor has scored in 3 straight games. That was his seventh goal of the season. He played 17:26 and had three shots on goal. The Jets beat the Wild 5-2.
Quinn HughesStreak
Quinn Hughes has a point in 7 straight games. He has 10 points in 7 games this season. The Wild lost 5-2 to the Jets.
Kirill KaprizovTwo goals
Kirill Kaprizov had two goals. He has 8 goals this season. He played 20:02 and had three shots on goal. The Wild fell 5-2 to the Jets.
Cole PerfettiTwo goals
Cole Perfetti had two goals. His goal stood up as the winner. That was his fifth goal of the season. It finished 5-2 for the Jets.
Joel Eriksson EkVolume
Joel Eriksson Ek had 9 shot attempts. Three reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 5.0 attempts a game. The Wild fell 5-2 to the Jets.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

MINWPG

010203040

MIN 39 WPG 39

1st2nd3rd

Where the shots came from

7 goals from 78 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss

← MIN shootingWPG shooting →

Minnesota Wild

Skater	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	Hits	Blk	xGF%
Quinn Hughes D	28:25	0	1	0	0.00	0	0	59
Matt Boldy L	22:20	0	0	1	0.18	2	0	68
Jonas Brodin D	21:39	0	1	1	0.02	2	2	62
Kirill Kaprizov L	20:02	2	0	3	0.37	0	1	64
Zach Bogosian D	19:50	0	0	1	0.04	2	1	39
Joel Eriksson Ek C	18:16	0	0	3	0.53	1	2	66
Olli Maatta D	17:27	0	0	0	0.01	0	1	39
David Spacek D	15:51	0	0	2	0.03	0	0	41
Michael McCarron C	15:14	0	0	0	0.00	2	2	46
Maxim Shabanov R	15:06	0	0	1	0.11	2	2	34
Bobby Brink R	14:55	0	0	2	0.21	0	0	49
Ryan Hartman R	14:50	0	0	0	0.18	1	2	42
Blake Coleman L	14:35	0	0	1	0.04	6	1	32
Danila Yurov R	14:28	0	0	2	0.20	0	1	37
Daemon Hunt D	12:47	0	0	0	0.00	2	3	21
Yakov Trenin C	12:28	0	0	2	0.27	6	0	48
Rieger Lorenz L	11:03	0	0	1	0.21	2	1	38
Tyler Pitlick C	8:13	0	0	1	0.10	6	0	35

Winnipeg Jets

Skater	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	Hits	Blk	xGF%
Dylan Samberg D	24:06	0	0	0	0.00	1	3	45
Neal Pionk D	23:50	0	2	1	0.14	1	2	58
Dylan DeMelo D	22:39	0	0	1	0.02	2	2	51
Mario Ferraro D	21:40	0	0	0	0.01	1	1	51
Gabriel Vilardi C	18:53	0	1	0	0.00	0	1	33
Kyle Connor L	17:26	1	1	3	0.44	0	0	58
Mark Scheifele C	16:19	1	2	3	0.46	0	1	62
Cole Perfetti C	16:13	2	0	4	0.51	1	0	58
Alex Iafallo L	15:13	0	0	0	0.00	0	0	75
Adam Lowry C	15:03	0	0	1	0.09	0	2	77
Haydn Fleury D	14:19	0	0	3	0.11	2	0	66
Viggo Björck C	14:18	0	0	1	0.23	1	0	33
Morgan Barron C	14:02	0	0	2	0.28	3	2	43
Vladislav Namestnikov C	13:28	0	1	0	0.00	3	1	56
Isak Rosen R	13:04	0	0	2	0.19	0	1	79
Nino Niederreiter R	12:55	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	26
Cole Koepke L	11:40	1	0	3	0.20	3	2	55
Tyrel Bauer D	11:03	0	0	1	0.04	3	1	56

Pro: the line

How the line moved against our model is part of Pro

Each odds pull for this game, the best price on each side, and how the market moved against our number.

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Pro: expected goals, minute by minute

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.

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