Beat the Model

A free pack of prop cards on game days. Open it, play whichever cards you like, and say how sure you are on each. Being sure and right scores big, being sure and wrong costs more. Our model plays the whole pack too, and you see its picks after puck drop.

Tonight

Leaderboard

Level up

+10 XP for every card you play
+1 XP for every 5 points you score
+25 XP for every slate where you beat the model

Badges for streaks and for calling upsets the market missed. Levels run from Rookie to Hall of Famer.

How scoring works

Each pick scores 100 × (1 + log₂ of the probability you gave to what happened). A coin flip scores 0. Saying 80% and being right scores +68; being wrong scores −132. So shading your numbers to look bold loses points over a season.

The model averages +7.1 points a pick so far. Its numbers stay hidden until each question locks.

Last slate

Will the Rangers beat the Ducks? NYR win
Model 54% (12) · Market 58% (22)
Will the Flyers beat the Avalanche? PHI win
Model 43% (-22) · Market 32% (-65)
Will the Maple Leafs beat the Sharks? TOR win
Model 49% (-3) · Market 55% (14)
Will the Mammoth beat the Penguins? UTA win
Model 55% (15) · Market 63% (33)
Will Macklin Celebrini have more than 4.5 shots on goal? Over 4.5
Model 38% (-39)
Will Nathan MacKinnon have more than 3.5 shots on goal? Under 3.5
Model 52% (-6) · Market 56% (-18)
Will Cutter Gauthier have more than 3.5 shots on goal? Over 3.5
Model 46% (-11) · Market 44% (-18)
Will Dylan Guenther have more than 2.5 shots on goal? Under 2.5
Model 52% (-7) · Market 54% (-11)
Will the Wild beat the Blue Jackets? MIN win
Model 64% (35) · Market 63% (33)
Will the Flames beat the Hurricanes? CGY win
Model 33% (-62) · Market 34% (-55)

A free game for fun. No entry fee, no prizes, no wagering.