GRIT & GF

Prospect board

The prospects we track, each with his likeliest NHL outcome and the odds of each tier. The odds come from what became of past draft picks with similar numbers, adjusted for league, age, draft slot and the team around him.

#PlayerTeamRightsGPP/GPContextNHL oddsTop oddsElite oddsProjection
1Viggo BjörckC, 18. Young for the league, UndersizedDjurgårdens IFSHLWPG#8, 2026420.36+8%92%66%64%Elite
2Chase ReidD, 18. Young for the league, SteadyMichigan State Univ.NCAASEA#7, 202631.67−7%92%77%48%Top-pair
3Ryan LinD, 18. Carrying a team, PlaymakerVancouver GiantsWHL–531.08+42%85%74%59%Elite
4Egor SurinC, 20. Young for the league, SteadyLokomotiv YaroslavlKHLNSH#22, 2024150.67+8%89%59%56%Elite
5Landon DuPontD, 17. Playmaker, Stacked rosterEverett SilvertipsWHL–631.16−18%82%65%55%Elite
6Nikita KlepovRW, 18. Carrying a team, SteadySaginaw SpiritOHL–671.45+14%87%73%35%First-liner
7Carson CarelsD, 18. Playmaker, SteadyPrince George CougarsWHL–581.26086%70%38%Top-pair
8Dima ZhilkinLW, 17. Volume shooter, Running hotSaginaw SpiritOHL–112.00−3%79%68%35%First-liner
9Tynan LawrenceC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston Univ.NCAASTL#11, 202641.25−8%91%58%33%First-liner
10Alexander ZharovskyR, 19. Young for the league, PlaymakerSalavat Yulaev UfaKHLMTL#34, 2025170.59−5%84%56%44%First-liner
11Roger McQueenC, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#10, 202540.75+18%88%47%35%Middle-sixer
12Bradly NadeauL, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#30, 202340.25+44%89%54%17%First-liner
13Michael HageC, 20. Playmaker, SteadyUniv. of MichiganNCAAMTL#21, 202462.33−1%90%34%28%Middle-sixer
14Levi HarperD, 17. Edgy, PlaymakerSaginaw SpiritOHL–52.00−15%67%49%45%Second-pair
15Maddox DagenaisC, 18. Volume shooter, Big frameQuébec RempartsQMJHLSTL#16, 202681.00−17%85%52%29%First-liner
16Rutger McGroartyR, 22. Volume shooter, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#14, 202261.50−15%86%44%19%Middle-sixer
17Ryerson EdgarC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueNiagara IceDogsOHL–111.09+16%74%54%24%First-liner
18Alexis JosephC, 17. Carrying a team, Volume shooterSaint John Sea DogsQMJHL–110.91+17%64%52%40%First-liner
19Noah OstlundC, 22. Playmaker, SteadyRochester AmericansAHLBUF#16, 202271.43+2%76%47%17%Middle-sixer?
20Jaxon JacobsonC, 17. Sniper, SteadyBrandon Wheat KingsWHL–110.82−1%68%42%37%Middle-sixer
21Madden DaneaultC, 15. Young for the league, PlaymakerKelowna RocketsWHL–81.25+4%67%40%32%Middle-sixer?
22Colt CarterD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyMoose Jaw WarriorsWHL–80.50+9%69%44%29%Second-pair
23Mateo FerreiraD, 15. Young for the league, PlaymakerKamloops BlazersWHL–101.00+18%71%50%18%Second-pair?
24Tomas GalvasD, 20. Young for the league, SteadyBílí Tygři LiberecCZECHIAPIT#54, 202670.43+12%75%42%23%Second-pair
25Brock EnglandC, 17. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL–81.00+20%65%40%28%Middle-sixer
26Milton GastrinC, 19. Young for the league, SteadyBrynäs IFSHLSTL#37, 202570.00+4%69%26%26%Fourth-liner
27Alexander CommandC, 18. Young for the league, SteadyÖrebro HKSHLNJD#12, 202650.00+4%79%25%15%Fourth-liner?
28Kash KwajahC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerSudbury WolvesOHL–101.10−15%67%38%13%Middle-sixer?
29Brooks RogowskiC, 18. Carrying a team, HeavyOshawa GeneralsOHL–100.70+34%65%40%10%Middle-sixer
30Nick LardisL, 21. Carrying a team, Volume shooterRockford IceHogsAHLCHI#67, 202330.67+36%64%37%12%Fourth-liner
31Felix NilssonC, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#43, 202340.25+10%77%27%17%Fourth-liner
32Justin CarbonneauR, 19. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSpringfield ThunderbirdsAHLSTL#19, 202560.67+32%83%32%13%Fourth-liner
33Roman KantserovR, 21. Undersized, SniperMetallurg MagnitogorskKHLCHI#44, 2023631.02+1%66%34%13%Fourth-liner
34Felix Unger SörumR, 21. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueChicago WolvesAHLCAR#62, 202340.25+44%63%36%7%Fourth-liner
35Quentin MustyL, 21. Young for the league, HeavySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#26, 2023610.74−2%72%25%8%Middle-sixer
36Vaclav NestrasilR, 19. Young for the league, Big frameUniv. of MassachusettsNCAACHI#25, 202560.50+5%62%24%15%Middle-sixer
37Lynden LakovicL, 19. Young for the league, Big frameHershey BearsAHLWSH#27, 202560.67068%34%6%Middle-sixer?
38Brock CrippsD, 17. Young for the league, PlaymakerPrince Albert RaidersWHL–110.91+13%66%33%14%Third-pair
39Keaton ArdaghRW, 17. Carrying a team, RisingBrampton SteelheadsOHL–100.80+39%64%33%15%Fourth-liner
40Jaakko WyciskC, 17. Heavy, Stacked rosterGuelph StormOHL–110.64−20%53%39%19%Fourth-liner
41Cole BeaudoinC, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#24, 202441.50+32%70%22%10%Middle-sixer
42Jacob McKinnonLW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueBlainville-Boisbriand ArmadaQMJHL–120.92+25%55%43%10%Fourth-liner?
43Maddox SchultzC, 16. Young for the league, EdgyRegina PatsWHL–81.25−9%66%27%15%Fourth-liner
44Aiden KellyC, 16. Young for the league, PlaymakerBrantford BulldogsOHL–121.33−2%58%28%15%Middle-sixer?
45David ReinbacherD, 21. Edgy, HeavyLaval RocketAHLMTL#5, 202340.50−27%70%27%5%Third-pair
46Terik ParascakR, 20. Young for the league, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#17, 202420.00−3%77%22%11%Fourth-liner
47Alex McLeanC, 18. Steady, HonestKingston FrontenacsOHL–120.67−12%49%28%26%Tweener
48Kohyn EshkawkoganD, 17. Steady, HonestOttawa 67'sOHL–100.40−6%60%27%16%Third-pair
49Egor ShilovC, 18. Volume shooter, SteadyVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–111.36−3%60%32%18%Fourth-liner
50Charlie StramelC, 21. Carrying a team, HeavyIowa WildAHLMIN#21, 202370.29+24%70%12%8%Middle-sixer
51Andrew CristallL, 21. Playmaker, SteadyHershey BearsAHLWSH#40, 202361.33+2%73%21%5%Fourth-liner
52Owen KraftLW, 16. Young for the league, SteadyTri-City AmericansWHL–80.75+18%54%31%16%Fourth-liner?
53Jonas Lagerberg HoenR, 18. Steady, HonestLeksands IFALLSVENSKANOTT#25, 202641.00+3%57%16%15%Fourth-liner?
54Andrew BashaLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyCalgary WranglersAHL–70.29−14%66%26%12%Fourth-liner
55Daxon RudolphD, 18. Steady, HonestPrince Albert RaidersWHL–681.15−14%60%30%21%Third-pair
56Parker McMillanRW, 15. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueWenatchee WildWHL–50.20+44%60%17%17%Middle-sixer?
57Luca Del Bel BelluzC, 22. Steady, HonestCleveland MonstersAHLCBJ#44, 2022551.05+5%81%13%5%Fourth-liner
58Brayden YagerC, 21. Sniper, SteadyManitoba MooseAHLWPG#14, 202361.50−19%68%13%6%Fourth-liner
59Tyler CooperC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueErie OttersOHL–90.11+24%62%25%9%Fourth-liner
60Filip BystedtC, 22. Heavy, SteadySan Jose BarracudaAHLSJS#27, 202261.00+8%63%15%4%Middle-sixer
61Jagger FirkusR, 22. Playmaker, SteadyCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#35, 202271.14−14%65%22%5%Fourth-liner
62Easton WalosC, 17. Rising, Running hotSarnia StingOHL–121.33+2%58%20%18%Fourth-liner
63Joakim KemellR, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyMilwaukee AdmiralsAHLNSH#17, 202241.00+16%67%14%6%Fourth-liner
64Lenni HameenahoR, 21. Carrying a team, SteadyUtica CometsAHLNJD#58, 202341.25+25%75%13%5%Fourth-liner
65Liam RuckR, 18. Steady, HonestMedicine Hat TigersWHLPIT#22, 202670.86−6%61%15%11%Fourth-liner
66Emil HemmingR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueTexas StarsAHLDAL#29, 202460.17+17%60%22%4%Fourth-liner
67Ryan RoobroeckLW, 18. Volume shooter, HeavyGuelph StormOHL–91.56−12%59%22%6%Fourth-liner
68Adam NovotnýLW, 18. Volume shooter, Carrying a teamPeterborough PetesOHL–101.60+18%63%20%8%Fourth-liner
69Matthew PerreaultD, 17. Young for the league, SteadyPeterborough PetesOHL–120.33058%21%16%Third-pair
70Jani NymanR, 22. Edgy, SniperCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#49, 202271.43074%13%6%Fourth-liner
71Stian SolbergD, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueSan Diego GullsAHLANA#23, 202470.86+18%72%15%3%Third-pair
72Bill ZonnonR, 19. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#22, 202560.83−19%57%19%9%Fourth-liner
73Casey MutrynR, 18. Young for the league, SteadyBoston CollegeNCAASEA#38, 202630.00−5%60%22%13%Fourth-liner
74JP HurlbertRW, 18. Steady, HonestKamloops BlazersWHL–681.43−1%48%26%15%Tweener
75Thomas VandenbergC, 18. Sniper, SteadyOttawa 67'sOHL–590.85−3%49%25%11%Tweener
76Beckett HamiltonRW, 18. Rising, SteadyRed Deer RebelsWHL–92.22−3%52%24%12%Fourth-liner
77Hunter HaightC, 22. Carrying a team, SteadyIowa WildAHLMIN#47, 202260.83+40%57%14%6%Fourth-liner
78Mason WestC, 19. Edgy, Young for the leagueMichigan State Univ.NCAACHI#29, 202530.00−7%54%12%2%Fourth-liner
79Kane CloutierLW, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueOshawa GeneralsOHL–120.33+39%51%19%9%Fourth-liner?
80Nolan SnyderRW, 17. Rising, Running hotKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.08−9%51%21%6%Fourth-liner
81Mathis PrestonR, 18. Sniper, SteadyVancouver GiantsWHLANA#50, 202691.11+12%59%17%10%Fourth-liner
82Alexey VlasovRW, 18. Volume shooter, SniperVictoriaville TigresQMJHL–81.50057%18%8%Fourth-liner
83Logan HenslerD, 19. Steady, HonestUniv. of WisconsinNCAAOTT#23, 202540.75+10%75%7%4%Third-pair?
84Eduard SaleL, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#20, 202370.57−14%66%11%4%Fourth-liner
85Aleks KuleminC, 17. Rising, Big frameKingston FrontenacsOHL–121.00−12%45%25%7%Tweener
86Rory KerinsC, 21. Steady, HonestCalgary WranglersAHL–70.57−11%67%17%2%Fourth-liner
87Liam GreentreeR, 20. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueHartford Wolf PackAHLNYR#26, 202480.63+38%51%16%4%Fourth-liner
88Pierre-Alexandre LemieuxC, 15. Young for the league, SteadyShawinigan CataractesQMJHL–100.70+6%51%25%9%Fourth-liner?
89Jayden PominvilleC, 16. Carrying a team, Young for the leagueRouyn-Noranda HuskiesQMJHL–120.75+16%41%22%16%Tweener
90Liam PueRW, 16. Rising, Young for the leagueRegina PatsWHL–91.44−2%51%21%8%Fourth-liner
91Oliver BonkD, 21. Edgy, SteadyLehigh Valley PhantomsAHLPHI#22, 202321.00−13%61%10%3%Third-pair
92Colby BarlowL, 21. Steady, HonestManitoba MooseAHLWPG#18, 202360.83−24%62%10%3%Fourth-liner
93Cam WarrenC, 17. Steady, HonestNorth Bay BattalionOHL–100.70+18%52%16%10%Fourth-liner
94Tanner HoweL, 20. Young for the league, Stacked rosterWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#46, 202460.33−23%57%15%4%Fourth-liner
95Oleg KulebiakinRW, 18. Steady, HonestHalifax MooseheadsQMJHL–80.88+3%42%19%15%Tweener
96Jean-Cristoph LemieuxRW, 18. Rising, Volume shooterSudbury WolvesOHL–81.75−5%55%18%4%Fourth-liner
97Oscar Fisker MolgaardC, 21. Steady, HonestCoachella Valley FirebirdsAHLSEA#52, 202360.50054%11%4%Fourth-liner
98Rhett SatherD, 17. Edgy, RisingSpokane ChiefsWHL–80.88−13%44%16%10%Tweener
99Collin KimLW, 15. Young for the league, SteadyKamloops BlazersWHL–70.57+13%48%19%8%Tweener?
100Owen PickeringD, 22. Edgy, HeavyWilkes-Barre/Scranton PenguinsAHLPIT#21, 202260.17−23%68%5%2%Third-pair

The tier is the highest one he has at least an even chance of reaching, which is why Elite is rare even near the top of the board. NHL odds is the chance he becomes a regular (150+ NHL games) and top odds the chance of a first-line or top-pair career, both from what happened to 2010 to 2017 draft picks with numbers like his. Defencemen are judged on defence scales. This is a points model, so it can't see play without the puck. Updated October 19.