Wednesday, October 14, 2026
- Expected goals, MTL–WSH
- 3.5–2.8
- all situations, empty nets out
- WSH share of xG
- 44.7%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 30–23
- MTL–WSH
- Pre-game model
- WSH 48%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Canadiens created more, 3.5 expected goals to 2.8, and lost 5-4 to the Capitals. Level at 3 after two, it was settled in the third. Alex Tuch had three points, two goals and one assist. Josh Anderson had two goals.
- Alex TuchBig night
Alex Tuch had three points, two goals and one assist. He also had 9 shot attempts against an average of 4.8. His goal with under five minutes left was the winner. It finished 5-4 for the Capitals.
- Josh AndersonTwo goals
Josh Anderson had two goals. He has 4 goals this season. He played 13:49 and had three shots on goal. The Canadiens lost 5-4 to the Capitals.
- Noah DobsonVolume
Noah Dobson had 9 shot attempts. Five reached the net and none went in. He came in averaging 4.8 attempts a game. The Canadiens fell 5-4 to the Capitals.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
9 goals from 90 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Montreal Canadiens
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lane Hutson D | 24:14 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 82 |
| Kaiden Guhle D | 22:22 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 4 | 2 | 22 |
| Noah Dobson D | 22:21 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 0.06 | 1 | 4 | 70 |
| Alexandre Carrier D | 20:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 19 |
| Nick Suzuki C | 20:15 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.36 | 1 | 0 | 40 |
| Cole Caufield R | 19:53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| Juraj Slafkovský L | 19:40 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.34 | 1 | 0 | 40 |
| Phillip Danault C | 17:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 0 | 0 | 72 |
| Alex Newhook C | 15:52 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0.53 | 0 | 1 | 60 |
| Chris Kreider L | 15:31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.13 | 1 | 1 | 64 |
| Arber Xhekaj D | 14:16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 56 |
| Josh Anderson R | 13:49 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0.77 | 1 | 1 | 61 |
| Zachary Bolduc R | 12:34 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 73 |
| Jake Evans C | 12:33 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 57 |
| Alexandre Texier L | 12:26 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.28 | 2 | 0 | 72 |
| Adam Engstrom D | 11:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 79 |
| Kirby Dach C | 9:08 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 2 | 0 | 58 |
| Owen Beck C | 7:46 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 61 |
Washington Capitals
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jakob Chychrun D | 23:03 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.03 | 0 | 1 | 36 |
| Martin Fehérváry D | 21:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4 | 51 |
| Vincent Desharnais D | 20:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 4 | 38 |
| Dylan Strome C | 18:56 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 58 |
| Alex Tuch R | 18:49 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1.38 | 1 | 0 | 70 |
| Aliaksei Protas L | 17:37 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 0 | 1 | 66 |
| Tom Wilson R | 17:13 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0.71 | 1 | 0 | 60 |
| Cole Hutson D | 17:07 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 39 |
| Timothy Liljegren D | 16:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 42 |
| Justin Sourdif C | 16:05 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 1 | 61 |
| Jordan Kyrou R | 15:15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.32 | 2 | 0 | 65 |
| Boone Jenner C | 15:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 18 |
| Ryan Leonard R | 14:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 0 | 0 | 7 |
| Alex Ovechkin L | 13:14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
| Justin Holl D | 13:08 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 42 |
| Anthony Beauvillier R | 12:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.90 | 3 | 1 | 15 |
| Ilya Protas L | 12:22 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 2 | 47 |
| Ivan Miroshnichenko L | 10:01 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 1 | 1 | 35 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute