Thursday, October 15, 2026
Final (SO)
- Expected goals, NYI–OTT
- 1.9–3.0
- all situations, empty nets out
- OTT share of xG
- 60.5%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 21–19
- NYI–OTT
- Pre-game model
- OTT 59%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Senators beat the Islanders 2-1 in a shootout, and the chances agreed: 3.0 expected goals to 2.0. Matias Maccelli has a point in 5 straight games. Logan Stanley played 26:34, about 7 minutes more than his average this season.
- Matias MaccelliStreak
Matias Maccelli has a point in 5 straight games. He has 2 goals this season. The Islanders lost 2-1 to the Senators in a shootout.
- Logan StanleyIce time
Logan Stanley played 26:34, about 7 minutes more than his average this season. He has 4 points in 7 games this season. The Islanders fell 2-1 to the Senators in a shootout.
- Stephen HallidayIce time
Stephen Halliday played 16:52, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 3 points in 8 games this season. The Senators beat the Islanders 2-1 in a shootout.
- Artem ZubShot blocker
Artem Zub blocked 6 shots. It was his first game of the season. He played 18:29 and had one shot on goal. It finished 2-1 for the Senators in a shootout.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
2 goals from 70 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
New York Islanders
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Schaefer D | 29:29 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.26 | 0 | 1 | 57 |
| Logan Stanley D | 26:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.10 | 4 | 5 | 60 |
| Bo Horvat C | 23:22 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0.41 | 2 | 1 | 38 |
| Adam Pelech D | 22:02 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 2 | 63 |
| Ryan Pulock D | 20:31 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 65 |
| Emil Heineman L | 18:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 2 | 0 | 85 |
| Matias Maccelli L | 18:26 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 38 |
| Kyle Palmieri C | 17:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 26 |
| Simon Holmstrom R | 17:00 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 85 |
| Brayden Schenn C | 16:27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 29 |
| Jean-Gabriel Pageau C | 15:34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.29 | 3 | 1 | 94 |
| Tony DeAngelo D | 15:00 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Victor Eklund R | 13:49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 52 |
| Ondrej Palat L | 13:37 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 1 | 0 | 92 |
| Casey Cizikas C | 11:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.04 | 3 | 0 | 90 |
| Calum Ritchie C | 10:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Matthew Kessel D | 10:30 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 59 |
| Anthony Duclair L | 9:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
Ottawa Senators
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Chabot D | 24:37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| Jordan Spence D | 23:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 61 |
| Tim Stützle C | 23:50 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | 3 | 0 | 23 |
| Tyler Kleven D | 21:18 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 60 |
| Drake Batherson R | 20:00 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.46 | 2 | 1 | 23 |
| Carter Yakemchuk D | 18:51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Artem Zub D | 18:29 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 6 | 41 |
| Dylan Cozens C | 17:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 3 | 1 | 52 |
| Ridly Greig C | 17:30 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.38 | 0 | 0 | 79 |
| Shane Pinto C | 17:04 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.57 | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Stephen Halliday C | 16:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.42 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Claude Giroux R | 16:27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.26 | 4 | 0 | 39 |
| Michael Amadio R | 14:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Warren Foegele L | 13:39 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 76 |
| Fabian Zetterlund L | 13:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.11 | 2 | 0 | 82 |
| Andre Burakovsky L | 13:09 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.08 | 0 | 1 | 49 |
| Cameron Crotty D | 11:42 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 54 |
| Nick Cousins C | 10:04 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 0 | 3 | 20 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute