Thursday, October 15, 2026
- Expected goals, UTA–EDM
- 3.0–2.2
- all situations, empty nets out
- EDM share of xG
- 42.3%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 24–24
- UTA–EDM
- Pre-game model
- EDM 54%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Mammoth beat the Oilers 4-2, and the chances agreed: 2.9 expected goals to 2.1. The Mammoth led from the first goal on. Two of the Mammoth's goals came on the power play. An empty-netter made the final score look roomier than the game was. Evan Bouchard had 13 shot attempts. Connor McDavid has a point in 7 straight games.
- Evan BouchardVolume
Evan Bouchard had 13 shot attempts. Six reached the net and none went in. His average this season was 7.2. The Oilers fell 4-2 to the Mammoth.
- Connor McDavidStreak
Connor McDavid has a point in 7 straight games. He has 18 points in 7 games this season. The Oilers lost 4-2 to the Mammoth.
- Clayton KellerTwo goals
Clayton Keller scored twice. That was his third goal of the season. He played 16:55 and had four shots on goal. It finished 4-2 for the Mammoth.
- Barrett HaytonStreak
Barrett Hayton has a point in 5 straight games. That was his first goal of the season. He played 15:01 and had one shot on goal. It finished 4-2 for the Mammoth.
- Alex FormentonPhysical
Alex Formenton finished 7 checks. He has 3 points in 7 games this season. He played 13:17 and had one shot on goal. The Oilers lost 4-2 to the Mammoth.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 78 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Utah Mammoth
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 24:42 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.17 | 0 | 0 | 45 |
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 22:59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 4 | 47 |
| Nate Schmidt D | 22:24 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 1 | 1 | 68 |
| John Marino D | 21:06 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 55 |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 19:15 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Clayton Keller R | 16:55 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 1.02 | 0 | 2 | 59 |
| Lawson Crouse L | 16:39 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.64 | 4 | 2 | 51 |
| Logan Cooley C | 15:59 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.68 | 0 | 1 | 62 |
| Barrett Hayton C | 15:01 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 42 |
| Dylan Guenther R | 15:01 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.33 | 1 | 1 | 56 |
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 14:35 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.50 | 4 | 1 | 46 |
| Anders Lee L | 14:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 2 | 41 |
| Kevin Stenlund C | 13:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 29 |
| Andrew Peeke D | 13:58 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 34 |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 13:46 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 74 |
| Jack McBain C | 13:07 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.21 | 4 | 0 | 39 |
| Dmitri Simashev D | 12:08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 42 |
| Daniil But L | 10:47 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 48 |
Edmonton Oilers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Bouchard D | 27:03 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0.18 | 0 | 0 | 68 |
| Connor McDavid C | 25:52 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.36 | 3 | 0 | 67 |
| Leon Draisaitl C | 23:00 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.45 | 0 | 0 | 79 |
| Mattias Ekholm D | 22:34 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.05 | 1 | 2 | 63 |
| Ryan Shea D | 22:16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.02 | 0 | 3 | 49 |
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 22:13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.36 | 3 | 4 | 65 |
| Connor Murphy D | 19:24 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 18 |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 16:14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 3 | 1 | 27 |
| Shakir Mukhamadullin D | 13:58 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 1 | 3 | 28 |
| Trent Frederic C | 13:43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.08 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| Alex Formenton L | 13:17 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 7 | 0 | 45 |
| Ty Emberson D | 12:52 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Mathieu Joseph R | 12:48 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.13 | 4 | 0 | 28 |
| Owen Michaels R | 12:02 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 37 |
| Max Jones L | 11:16 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 0 | 2 | 34 |
| Filip Hallander C | 10:22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| Isaac Howard L | 10:22 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 0 | 0 | 35 |
| Josh Samanski C | 8:53 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 4 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute