CGY at VGK, 2026-10-15

Thursday, October 15, 2026

Calgary Flames

Vegas Golden Knights

Expected goals, CGY–VGK: 3.5–4.3; all situations, empty nets out
VGK share of xG: 55.0%; 50% is even
Shots on goal: 30–33; CGY–VGK
Pre-game model: VGK 70%; win chance, model game-0.3

The story

The Golden Knights won 6-2 and earned it, out-chancing the Flames 4.2 to 3.6 in expected goals. The Golden Knights scored four straight at one stage. Both power plays scored, two for the Golden Knights and one for the Flames. Mark Stone scored three goals. Three points for Ivan Barbashev: three assists.

Mark StoneHat trick
Mark Stone scored three goals. He has 6 goals this season. He played 14:01 and had three shots on goal. It finished 6-2 for the Golden Knights.
Ivan BarbashevBig night
Three points for Ivan Barbashev: three assists. He has 7 points in 9 games this season. He played 15:26 and had four shots on goal. It finished 6-2 for the Golden Knights.
Jack EichelBig night
Jack Eichel had three points, one goal and two assists. That was his fifth goal of the season. It finished 6-2 for the Golden Knights.
Martin PospisilPhysical
Martin Pospisil threw 8 hits, the most in the league that night. He has 2 points in 7 games this season. The Flames fell 6-2 to the Golden Knights.
Jake MiddletonDrought over
Jake Middleton scored for the first time in 23 games. He has 1 goal this season. He played 19:14 and had two shots on goal. The Flames lost 6-2 to the Golden Knights.
Mitch MarnerStreak
Mitch Marner has a point in 5 straight games. He has 9 points in 9 games this season. The Golden Knights beat the Flames 6-2.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

CGYVGK

0204060

CGY 48VGK 42

1st2nd3rd

Where the shots came from

8 goals from 90 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss

← CGY shootingVGK shooting →

Calgary Flames

Skater	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	Hits	Blk	xGF%
Kevin Bahl D	21:58	0	0	0	0.00	2	1	61
Zach Whitecloud D	21:24	0	0	2	0.02	0	3	33
Simon Nemec D	20:54	0	0	3	0.23	0	1	69
Joel Farabee L	20:24	0	1	3	0.35	0	1	56
Jake Middleton D	19:14	1	0	2	0.27	2	1	63
Mikael Backlund C	18:41	0	0	1	0.08	2	0	51
Zayne Parekh D	17:25	0	0	4	0.18	1	3	67
Yan Kuznetsov D	17:19	0	0	1	0.02	2	1	32
Matt Coronato R	16:01	1	0	3	0.33	0	0	43
Morgan Frost C	15:45	0	1	2	0.54	1	0	48
Aydar Suniev L	14:21	0	0	3	0.51	1	1	45
Ryan Strome C	13:48	0	0	2	0.27	0	0	95
Martin Pospisil C	13:40	0	1	1	0.06	8	1	65
Matvei Gridin R	13:40	0	1	0	0.06	0	0	98
Yegor Sharangovich C	12:03	0	0	1	0.31	0	0	82
Adam Klapka R	11:22	0	0	1	0.06	2	2	35
Jonathan Castagna C	10:39	0	0	0	0.18	2	1	66
Maxim Tsyplakov R	9:48	0	0	1	0.03	1	0	91

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	Hits	Blk	xGF%
Jeremy Lauzon D	20:45	0	0	0	0.02	2	2	20
Rasmus Andersson D	20:06	0	0	3	0.15	0	0	39
Shea Theodore D	18:48	0	0	1	0.02	0	1	62
Mitch Marner R	18:43	0	2	1	0.14	1	0	39
Noah Hanifin D	18:24	0	1	0	0.00	0	1	41
Braeden Bowman R	18:15	1	0	5	0.90	1	1	28
William Karlsson C	17:08	0	1	1	0.37	0	2	46
Tomas Hertl C	16:51	0	0	3	0.52	1	2	32
Brayden McNabb D	16:29	0	0	1	0.06	0	0	50
Ivan Barbashev L	15:26	0	3	4	0.36	1	0	73
Dylan Coghlan D	15:26	0	0	3	0.07	1	2	40
Jack Eichel C	15:16	1	2	4	0.49	1	0	69
Trevor Connelly L	14:59	0	0	1	0.15	0	1	34
Marc Gatcomb C	14:51	0	0	1	0.00	6	1	11
Brett Howden C	14:41	1	0	1	0.08	1	1	32
Nic Dowd C	14:34	0	0	0	0.00	0	3	14
Mark Stone R	14:01	3	0	3	0.88	0	0	64
Raphael Lavoie C	10:38	0	0	1	0.07	2	0	20

Pro: the line

How the line moved against our model is part of Pro

Each odds pull for this game, the best price on each side, and how the market moved against our number.

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Pro: expected goals, minute by minute

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.

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