GRIT & GF

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Edmonton Oilers

Utah Mammoth

Expected goals, EDM–UTA
2.8–2.9
all situations, empty nets out
UTA share of xG
51.4%
50% is even
Shots on goal
21–28
EDM–UTA
Pre-game model
UTA 54%
win chance, model game-0.3

The story

The Oilers beat the Mammoth 6-2 in a game the chances had about even, 2.8 expected goals to 2.9. The Oilers scored five straight at one stage. Five points for Connor McDavid: two goals and three assists. Mathieu Joseph scored for the first time in 46 games.

  • Five points for Connor McDavid: two goals and three assists. That makes 8 straight games with a point. He has 6 goals this season. It finished 6-2 for the Oilers.

  • Mathieu JosephDrought over

    Mathieu Joseph scored for the first time in 46 games. His goal stood up as the winner. He has 1 goal this season. The Oilers beat the Mammoth 6-2.

  • Leon Draisaitl has scored in 3 straight games. That was his sixth goal of the season. He played 18:31 and had one shot on goal. The Oilers beat the Mammoth 6-2.

  • Jack McBainPhysical

    Jack McBain threw 8 hits. He has 2 points in 9 games this season. He played 12:19 and had one shot on goal. The Mammoth lost 6-2 to the Oilers.

  • Karel VejmelkaRough night

    Karel Vejmelka allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.1 expected goals. That is 2.9 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Mammoth lost 6-2 to the Oilers.

  • Evan Bouchard has a point in 5 straight games. He has 16 points in 8 games this season. He played 24:04 and had three shots on goal. The Oilers beat the Mammoth 6-2.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

EDMUTA

Where the shots came from

8 goals from 78 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss
← EDM shootingUTA shooting →

Edmonton Oilers

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
Evan Bouchard D24:040130.050059
Mattias Ekholm D22:430110.000151
Ryan Shea D21:120000.010131
Connor Murphy D21:040020.020440
Connor McDavid C19:522320.461259
Leon Draisaitl C18:311110.261056
Kasperi Kapanen R18:001020.212073
Vasily Podkolzin R17:300200.004154
Colton Dach C16:520030.414158
Jake Walman D16:340000.120568
Zach Hyman L16:321010.251040
Ty Emberson D14:540000.002045
Owen Michaels R13:060010.011145
Mathieu Joseph R12:351020.402059
Alex Formenton L12:060010.253245
Isaac Howard L10:350000.020131
Filip Hallander C10:270010.243131
Trent Frederic C9:230010.050134

Utah Mammoth

SkaterTOIGASOGixGHitsBlkxGF%
MacKenzie Weegar D22:380010.216256
Mikhail Sergachev D21:001040.110049
John Marino D20:341020.132059
Logan Cooley C17:510010.121040
Andrew Peeke D17:490010.000139
Dmitri Simashev D17:440020.161044
Nate Schmidt D17:010000.061255
Nick Schmaltz C17:000020.233126
Dylan Guenther R16:540020.101040
Kailer Yamamoto R16:530020.183052
Clayton Keller R16:430010.102030
Vincent Trocheck C15:380020.191040
Anders Lee L15:230030.601057
Barrett Hayton C15:110010.151172
Kevin Stenlund C13:170110.160079
Daniil But L13:040110.092081
Lawson Crouse L12:530010.146033
Jack McBain C12:190010.208179

How the line moved against our model is part of Pro

Each odds pull for this game, the best price on each side, and how the market moved against our number.

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.