Saturday, October 17, 2026
- Expected goals, EDM–UTA
- 2.8–2.9
- all situations, empty nets out
- UTA share of xG
- 51.4%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 21–28
- EDM–UTA
- Pre-game model
- UTA 54%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Oilers beat the Mammoth 6-2 in a game the chances had about even, 2.8 expected goals to 2.9. The Oilers scored five straight at one stage. Five points for Connor McDavid: two goals and three assists. Mathieu Joseph scored for the first time in 46 games.
- Connor McDavidBig night
Five points for Connor McDavid: two goals and three assists. That makes 8 straight games with a point. He has 6 goals this season. It finished 6-2 for the Oilers.
- Mathieu JosephDrought over
Mathieu Joseph scored for the first time in 46 games. His goal stood up as the winner. He has 1 goal this season. The Oilers beat the Mammoth 6-2.
- Leon DraisaitlStreak
Leon Draisaitl has scored in 3 straight games. That was his sixth goal of the season. He played 18:31 and had one shot on goal. The Oilers beat the Mammoth 6-2.
- Jack McBainPhysical
Jack McBain threw 8 hits. He has 2 points in 9 games this season. He played 12:19 and had one shot on goal. The Mammoth lost 6-2 to the Oilers.
- Karel VejmelkaRough night
Karel Vejmelka allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.1 expected goals. That is 2.9 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Mammoth lost 6-2 to the Oilers.
- Evan BouchardStreak
Evan Bouchard has a point in 5 straight games. He has 16 points in 8 games this season. He played 24:04 and had three shots on goal. The Oilers beat the Mammoth 6-2.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
8 goals from 78 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Edmonton Oilers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Bouchard D | 24:04 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.05 | 0 | 0 | 59 |
| Mattias Ekholm D | 22:43 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 51 |
| Ryan Shea D | 21:12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 0 | 1 | 31 |
| Connor Murphy D | 21:04 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.02 | 0 | 4 | 40 |
| Connor McDavid C | 19:52 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0.46 | 1 | 2 | 59 |
| Leon Draisaitl C | 18:31 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.26 | 1 | 0 | 56 |
| Kasperi Kapanen R | 18:00 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.21 | 2 | 0 | 73 |
| Vasily Podkolzin R | 17:30 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 54 |
| Colton Dach C | 16:52 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.41 | 4 | 1 | 58 |
| Jake Walman D | 16:34 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.12 | 0 | 5 | 68 |
| Zach Hyman L | 16:32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 1 | 0 | 40 |
| Ty Emberson D | 14:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 45 |
| Owen Michaels R | 13:06 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.01 | 1 | 1 | 45 |
| Mathieu Joseph R | 12:35 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.40 | 2 | 0 | 59 |
| Alex Formenton L | 12:06 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.25 | 3 | 2 | 45 |
| Isaac Howard L | 10:35 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.02 | 0 | 1 | 31 |
| Filip Hallander C | 10:27 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 3 | 1 | 31 |
| Trent Frederic C | 9:23 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.05 | 0 | 1 | 34 |
Utah Mammoth
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 22:38 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.21 | 6 | 2 | 56 |
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 21:00 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.11 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| John Marino D | 20:34 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.13 | 2 | 0 | 59 |
| Logan Cooley C | 17:51 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.12 | 1 | 0 | 40 |
| Andrew Peeke D | 17:49 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 39 |
| Dmitri Simashev D | 17:44 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 0 | 44 |
| Nate Schmidt D | 17:01 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.06 | 1 | 2 | 55 |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 17:00 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Dylan Guenther R | 16:54 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.10 | 1 | 0 | 40 |
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 16:53 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.18 | 3 | 0 | 52 |
| Clayton Keller R | 16:43 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.10 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 15:38 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.19 | 1 | 0 | 40 |
| Anders Lee L | 15:23 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.60 | 1 | 0 | 57 |
| Barrett Hayton C | 15:11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 72 |
| Kevin Stenlund C | 13:17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 79 |
| Daniil But L | 13:04 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 81 |
| Lawson Crouse L | 12:53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 6 | 0 | 33 |
| Jack McBain C | 12:19 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 8 | 1 | 79 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute