PIT at VGK, 2026-10-17

Saturday, October 17, 2026

Pittsburgh Penguins

Vegas Golden Knights

Expected goals, PIT–VGK: 2.7–2.2; all situations, empty nets out
VGK share of xG: 44.9%; 50% is even
Shots on goal: 24–20; PIT–VGK
Pre-game model: VGK 59%; win chance, model game-0.3

The story

The Golden Knights beat the Penguins 6-2. Expected goals had it close, 2.2 to 2.7. The Golden Knights scored three straight at one stage. Both power plays scored, one for the Golden Knights and one for the Penguins. An empty-netter made the final score look roomier than the game was. Mark Stone had three points, one goal and two assists. Brett Howden has scored in 3 straight games.

Mark StoneBig night
Mark Stone had three points, one goal and two assists. His goal stood up as the winner. That was his seventh goal of the season. The Golden Knights beat the Penguins 6-2.
Brett HowdenStreak
Brett Howden has scored in 3 straight games. He has 4 goals this season. He played 15:00 and had one shot on goal. The Golden Knights beat the Penguins 6-2.
Jeremy LauzonPhysical
Jeremy Lauzon threw 8 hits. He has 0 points in 10 games this season. He played 18:07 and had no shots on goal. The Golden Knights beat the Penguins 6-2.
Mitch MarnerStreak
Mitch Marner has a point in 6 straight games. He has 11 points in 10 games this season. The Golden Knights beat the Penguins 6-2.
Sergei MurashovRough night
Sergei Murashov allowed 5 goals on shots worth 2.2 expected goals. That is 2.8 more than an average goalie would have given up. The Penguins lost 6-2 to the Golden Knights.
Kaedan KorczakIce time
Kaedan Korczak played 23:53, about 6 minutes more than his average this season. He has 4 points in 9 games this season. The Penguins lost 6-2 to the Golden Knights.

Shot attempts

Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.

PITVGK

010203040

PIT 40VGK 32

1st2nd3rd

Where the shots came from

8 goals from 72 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.

GoalShot or miss

← PIT shootingVGK shooting →

Pittsburgh Penguins

Skater	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	Hits	Blk	xGF%
Kaedan Korczak D	23:53	0	0	1	0.01	2	0	63
Erik Karlsson D	21:56	0	1	1	0.04	0	1	33
Spencer Stastney D	21:34	0	0	1	0.13	0	2	60
Declan Carlile D	21:10	0	0	1	0.07	0	0	68
Kris Letang D	20:07	0	0	2	0.09	1	1	67
Rickard Rakell R	19:38	0	0	2	0.45	0	1	42
Bryan Rust R	19:02	0	0	1	0.01	1	0	44
Sidney Crosby C	18:17	1	0	1	0.17	0	0	46
Ben Kindel C	15:37	0	0	4	0.19	0	1	57
Andrei Kuzmenko L	13:38	0	0	0	0.09	2	0	58
Nick Robertson L	13:33	0	0	1	0.11	0	0	58
Blake Lizotte C	13:03	0	0	0	0.09	0	2	78
Ville Koivunen R	13:00	0	1	2	0.21	0	0	70
Connor Dewar C	12:58	0	0	3	0.25	1	0	77
Evgeni Malkin C	12:51	1	0	2	0.48	1	0	69
Tommy Novak C	12:41	0	2	1	0.10	0	0	63
Elmer Soderblom L	12:09	0	0	1	0.24	2	0	83
Samuel Girard D	11:22	0	0	0	0.00	0	2	66

Vegas Golden Knights

Skater	TOI	G	A	SOG	ixG	Hits	Blk	xGF%
Shea Theodore D	21:20	1	0	1	0.15	0	0	36
Noah Hanifin D	20:47	1	0	3	0.31	0	0	34
Rasmus Andersson D	20:35	1	0	2	0.16	0	1	54
Brayden McNabb D	20:01	0	1	1	0.06	0	1	63
Jeremy Lauzon D	18:07	0	0	0	0.00	8	0	28
Mitch Marner R	17:08	0	2	1	0.06	1	1	53
Jack Eichel C	16:48	0	2	0	0.00	0	1	38
Nic Dowd C	16:07	0	0	0	0.00	3	1	27
Dylan Coghlan D	15:46	0	0	0	0.04	2	0	21
Tomas Hertl C	15:22	0	0	1	0.14	6	2	46
Marc Gatcomb C	15:20	0	0	3	0.18	4	0	21
Brett Howden C	15:00	1	0	1	0.90	0	0	48
Mark Stone R	14:49	1	2	1	0.33	0	1	39
Braeden Bowman R	14:30	0	0	0	0.06	1	0	20
Trevor Connelly L	14:28	1	1	2	0.23	1	1	64
Ivan Barbashev L	14:12	0	0	0	0.00	1	0	39
William Karlsson C	13:54	0	1	1	0.22	0	1	55
Raphael Lavoie C	13:30	0	0	3	0.24	0	0	54

Pro: the line

How the line moved against our model is part of Pro

Each odds pull for this game, the best price on each side, and how the market moved against our number.

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Pro: expected goals, minute by minute

The minute-by-minute expected goals flow is part of Pro

The game measured in chance quality, minute by minute, which shows when it tilted and toward whom.

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