Monday, October 19, 2026
- Expected goals, PIT–UTA
- 2.2–3.7
- all situations, empty nets out
- UTA share of xG
- 62.8%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 19–29
- PIT–UTA
- Pre-game model
- UTA 56%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Mammoth beat the Penguins 5-4, and the chances agreed: 3.7 expected goals to 2.2. The Mammoth scored three straight at one stage. Both power plays scored, one for the Mammoth and two for the Penguins. Nate Schmidt scored for the first time in 29 games. Mikhail Sergachev had 9 shot attempts.
- Nate SchmidtDrought over
Nate Schmidt scored for the first time in 29 games. That was his first goal of the season. He played 18:31 and had one shot on goal. It finished 5-4 for the Mammoth.
- Mikhail SergachevVolume
Mikhail Sergachev had 9 shot attempts. Four got through to the goalie, and none went in. His average this season was 5.1. It finished 5-4 for the Mammoth.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
9 goals from 77 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Pittsburgh Penguins
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erik Karlsson D | 27:40 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 3 | 34 |
| Kris Letang D | 21:55 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.08 | 3 | 1 | 25 |
| Spencer Stastney D | 21:06 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 36 |
| Rickard Rakell R | 19:00 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0.50 | 2 | 0 | 41 |
| Ben Kindel C | 18:53 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.14 | 1 | 2 | 31 |
| Sidney Crosby C | 18:31 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 | 0 | 0 | 30 |
| Evgeni Malkin C | 16:34 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 0 | 0 | 56 |
| Kaedan Korczak D | 16:27 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.01 | 1 | 3 | 37 |
| Declan Carlile D | 16:05 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 37 |
| Ilya Solovyov D | 15:52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.03 | 1 | 1 | 19 |
| Egor Chinakhov R | 15:32 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
| Andrei Kuzmenko L | 14:19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.11 | 0 | 1 | 52 |
| Ville Koivunen R | 13:17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 1 | 19 |
| Connor Dewar C | 13:13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 4 | 0 | 26 |
| Nick Robertson L | 13:12 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 0 | 32 |
| Tommy Novak C | 13:03 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.07 | 0 | 1 | 34 |
| Blake Lizotte C | 11:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 1 | 3 | 44 |
| Bryan Rust R | 9:32 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
Utah Mammoth
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikhail Sergachev D | 24:54 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.20 | 0 | 1 | 68 |
| MacKenzie Weegar D | 23:59 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0.31 | 2 | 1 | 66 |
| Clayton Keller R | 19:03 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 66 |
| Nate Schmidt D | 18:31 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.03 | 2 | 0 | 81 |
| Andrew Peeke D | 18:10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 3 | 0 | 70 |
| Nick Schmaltz C | 17:41 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.34 | 1 | 1 | 72 |
| Logan Cooley C | 16:29 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.22 | 2 | 0 | 68 |
| Lawson Crouse L | 15:51 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.31 | 2 | 0 | 72 |
| Dylan Guenther R | 15:48 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.39 | 0 | 2 | 64 |
| Dmitri Simashev D | 15:42 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.19 | 3 | 2 | 53 |
| Nick DeSimone D | 15:39 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.06 | 1 | 0 | 66 |
| Vincent Trocheck C | 14:58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.14 | 3 | 1 | 68 |
| Barrett Hayton C | 14:14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.23 | 0 | 1 | 69 |
| Kailer Yamamoto R | 14:03 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.45 | 0 | 2 | 73 |
| Anders Lee L | 13:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.90 | 1 | 0 | 77 |
| Kevin Stenlund C | 13:43 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.32 | 4 | 0 | 57 |
| Jack McBain C | 12:14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.09 | 2 | 0 | 57 |
| Daniil But L | 12:06 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.11 | 0 | 3 | 57 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute