Wednesday, October 21, 2026
- Expected goals, FLA–OTT
- 1.8–2.6
- all situations, empty nets out
- OTT share of xG
- 58.5%
- 50% is even
- Shots on goal
- 19–30
- FLA–OTT
- Pre-game model
- OTT 64%
- win chance, model game-0.3
The story
The Senators won 5-1 and earned it, out-chancing the Panthers 2.6 to 1.8 in expected goals. The Senators scored five straight at one stage. Both power plays scored, one for the Senators and one for the Panthers. Matthew Tkachuk has a point in 9 straight games. Seth Jones has a point in 5 straight games.
- Matthew TkachukStreak
Matthew Tkachuk has a point in 9 straight games. He has 15 points in 10 games this season. The Panthers fell 5-1 to the Senators.
- Seth JonesStreak
Seth Jones has a point in 5 straight games. He has 11 points in 10 games this season. The Panthers fell 5-1 to the Senators.
- Brady TkachukStreak
Brady Tkachuk has a point in 5 straight games. That was his seventh goal of the season. He played 13:13 and had three shots on goal. The Panthers lost 5-1 to the Senators.
Shot attempts
Running count of unblocked attempts (shots on goal plus misses). Dots are goals. Hover to read any moment.
Where the shots came from
6 goals from 64 unblocked attempts. Shots from a team's own half are left off.
Florida Panthers
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gustav Forsling D | 22:26 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.16 | 0 | 1 | 17 |
| Seth Jones D | 21:09 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0.16 | 2 | 1 | 46 |
| Niko Mikkola D | 19:43 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.20 | 0 | 3 | 36 |
| Aaron Ekblad D | 19:06 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 38 |
| Anton Lundell C | 19:00 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.07 | 3 | 0 | 56 |
| Eetu Luostarinen C | 17:56 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 1 | 2 | 54 |
| Matthew Tkachuk L | 17:29 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0.03 | 5 | 0 | 40 |
| Lars Eller C | 17:20 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.15 | 1 | 1 | 27 |
| Radko Gudas D | 17:03 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 4 | 1 | 37 |
| Carter Verhaeghe C | 16:55 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sam Bennett C | 16:55 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.31 | 3 | 0 | 37 |
| Dmitry Kulikov D | 16:25 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.01 | 2 | 1 | 56 |
| Sam Reinhart C | 15:54 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Brady Tkachuk L | 13:13 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0.22 | 6 | 0 | 54 |
| Sandis Vilmanis L | 11:48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 40 |
| Garnet Hathaway R | 9:57 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.23 | 2 | 1 | 98 |
| Cole Schwindt R | 7:40 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 5 | 0 | 67 |
| Bokondji Imama L | 7:19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 0 | 100 |
Ottawa Senators
| Skater | TOI | G | A | SOG | ixG | Hits | Blk | xGF% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Sanderson D | 22:36 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0.17 | 2 | 1 | 55 |
| Tyler Kleven D | 22:08 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.08 | 3 | 4 | 66 |
| Shane Pinto C | 20:31 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.14 | 0 | 1 | 72 |
| Tim Stützle C | 19:41 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0.27 | 0 | 1 | 100 |
| Jordan Spence D | 18:58 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.06 | 2 | 1 | 85 |
| Carter Yakemchuk D | 18:44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 4 | 43 |
| Dylan Cozens C | 18:24 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0.43 | 2 | 0 | 79 |
| Drake Batherson R | 17:41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.04 | 1 | 1 | 61 |
| Ridly Greig C | 17:07 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.24 | 2 | 0 | 59 |
| Artem Zub D | 17:05 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 0 | 0 | 54 |
| Michael Amadio R | 14:48 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.09 | 0 | 0 | 49 |
| Stephen Halliday C | 14:45 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 0.48 | 1 | 1 | 36 |
| Warren Foegele L | 14:31 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0.25 | 2 | 2 | 73 |
| Claude Giroux R | 13:52 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0.16 | 0 | 0 | 74 |
| Nikolas Matinpalo D | 13:13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0.00 | 2 | 1 | 84 |
| Fabian Zetterlund L | 12:45 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0.17 | 1 | 0 | 71 |
| Nick Cousins C | 8:03 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0.01 | 4 | 0 | 19 |
| Hayden Hodgson R | 6:57 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.00 | 3 | 0 | 9 |
Pro: the line
How the line moved against our model is part of Pro
Pro: expected goals, minute by minute