Prospect board, #1776 overall
Aaron Obobaifo
Centre, 19.6 years old, Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Aaron Obobaifo is a 19-year-old centre with Edmonton Oil Kings in the WHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 5 assists in 9 games, 0.89 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.68 a game last season.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer21%
How he got there
1His line
0.89 P/GP
3 G, 5 A in 9 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
10 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Edmonton Oil Kings | WHL | 9 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 0.89 |
| Last season | Edmonton Oil Kings | WHL | 59 | 19 | 21 | 40 | 0.68 |