GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #172 overall

Adam Levac

Centre, 18.2 years old, Peterborough Petes (OHL), 6′0″ 183 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

38%

AHLer

Scouting report

Adam Levac is an 18-year-old centre with Peterborough Petes in the OHL. He has 3 goals and 5 assists in 8 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.73 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 183 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 38% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 15% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 45 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner15%
  3. Middle-sixer22%
  4. Fourth-liner38%
  5. Tweener49%
  6. AHLer (most likely)72%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    3 G, 5 A in 8 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +7%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    18.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    45 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonPeterborough PetesOHL83581.00
Last seasonPeterborough PetesOHL601628440.73