Prospect board, #276 overall
Adam Sýkora
Forward, 22.0 years old, Hartford Wolf Pack (AHL), 5′11″ 193 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
35%
Scouting report
Adam Sýkora is a 22-year-old forward with Hartford Wolf Pack in the AHL. He has 12 goals and 17 assists in 62 games, 0.47 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.6 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 193 pounds.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 35% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 3% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 33 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer10%
- Fourth-liner35%
- Tweener47%
- AHLer (most likely)95%+
How he got there
1His line
0.47 P/GP
12 G, 17 A in 62 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+20%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Hartford Wolf Pack | AHL | 62 | 12 | 17 | 29 | 0.47 |