Prospect board, #2104 overall
Adrien Bartovic
Centre, 19.5 years old, Guelph Storm (OHL), 6′1″ 188 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Adrien Bartovic is a 19-year-old centre with Guelph Storm in the OHL, undrafted. He has 2 goals and 2 assists in 11 games, 0.36 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.53 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 188 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener3%
- AHLer5%
How he got there
1His line
0.36 P/GP
2 G, 2 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
4 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−20%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
31 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Guelph Storm | OHL | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0.36 |