Prospect board, #85 overall
Aleks Kulemin
Centre, 17.5 years old, Kingston Frontenacs (OHL), 6′4″ 190 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
45%
Scouting report
Aleks Kulemin is a 17-year-old centre with Kingston Frontenacs in the OHL. He has 4 goals and 8 assists in 12 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.54 a game last season. His team scores 4.4 a game, one of the better offences around. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 190 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 45% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 25% of a first-line career and 7% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 56 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite7%
- First-liner25%
- Middle-sixer39%
- Fourth-liner45%
- Tweener (most likely)57%
- AHLer77%
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
4 G, 8 A in 12 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−12%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
57 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Kingston Frontenacs | OHL | 12 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Kingston Frontenacs | OHL | 57 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 0.54 |