Prospect board, #143 overall
Alessandro Di Iorio
Centre, 18.5 years old, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 6′1″ 188 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
37%
Scouting report
Alessandro Di Iorio is an 18-year-old centre with Sarnia Sting in the OHL. He has 4 goals and 6 assists in 8 games, 1.25 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.69 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 188 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 37% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 15% of a first-line career and 5% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 50 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite5%
- First-liner15%
- Middle-sixer26%
- Fourth-liner37%
- Tweener (most likely)54%
- AHLer71%
How he got there
1His line
1.25 P/GP
4 G, 6 A in 8 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
15 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−6%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
50 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 8 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1.25 |
| Last season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 45 | 12 | 19 | 31 | 0.69 |