Prospect board, #82 overall
Alexey Vlasov
Right wing, 18.6 years old, Victoriaville Tigres (QMJHL), 5′10″ 181 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
57%
Scouting report
Alexey Vlasov is an 18-year-old right wing with Victoriaville Tigres in the QMJHL. He has 8 goals and 4 assists in 8 games, 1.50 a game, which works out to about 14 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. Listed at 5-foot-10 and 181 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 57% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 18% of a first-line career and 8% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 44 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite8%
- First-liner18%
- Middle-sixer30%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)57%
- Tweener74%
- AHLer87%
How he got there
1His line
1.50 P/GP
8 G, 4 A in 8 games, QMJHL
2League exchange rate
14 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
44 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Victoriaville Tigres | QMJHL | 8 | 8 | 4 | 12 | 1.50 |
| Last season | Victoriaville Tigres | QMJHL | 64 | 44 | 36 | 80 | 1.25 |