GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2025 overall

Alexis Beaulieu

Left wing, 19.8 years old, Charlottetown Islanders (QMJHL), 6′0″ 175 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Alexis Beaulieu is a 19-year-old left wing with Charlottetown Islanders in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 8 goals and 7 assists in 30 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. The five best scorers around him average 1.30 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. At 19.8 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 175 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer10%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.50 P/GP

    8 G, 7 A in 30 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −6%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.8

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL3087150.50