GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2093 overall

Alexis Toussaint

Centre, 19.6 years old, Chicoutimi Saguenéens (QMJHL), 6′1″ 188 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Alexis Toussaint is a 19-year-old centre with Chicoutimi Saguenéens in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 5 assists in 11 games, 0.55 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.31 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 188 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener1%
  6. AHLer13%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.55 P/GP

    1 G, 5 A in 11 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    5 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −3%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    44 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL111560.55
Last seasonChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL54512170.31