GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #888 overall

Alex Massé

Left wing, 18.1 years old, Rimouski Océanic (QMJHL), 5′11″ 170 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

Long shot

Scouting report

Alex Massé is an 18-year-old left wing with Rimouski Océanic in the QMJHL. He has 3 goals and 1 assist in 10 games, 0.40 a game, which works out to about 4 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 5.2 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 170 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer6%
  4. Fourth-liner10%
  5. Tweener14%
  6. AHLer40%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.40 P/GP

    3 G, 1 A in 10 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    4 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −21%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    18.1

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    45 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonRimouski OcéanicQMJHL103140.40
Last seasonRimouski OcéanicQMJHL5557120.22