GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1134 overall

Alex Misiak

Left wing, 19.2 years old, Kingston Frontenacs (OHL), 6′1″ 195 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

8%

Long shot

Scouting report

Alex Misiak is a 19-year-old left wing with Kingston Frontenacs in the OHL, undrafted. He has 7 goals and 7 assists in 11 games, 1.27 a game, which works out to about 15 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.64 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 195 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 8% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner8%
  5. Tweener15%
  6. AHLer36%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.27 P/GP

    7 G, 7 A in 11 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    15 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −8%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonKingston FrontenacsOHL1177141.27
Last seasonKingston FrontenacsOHL591226380.64