Alex Suzdalev

Left wing, 22.5 years old, Hershey Bears (AHL), 6′2″ 190 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

29%

AHLer

Scouting report

Alex Suzdalev is a 22-year-old left wing with Hershey Bears in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.00 a game, which works out to about 0 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 190 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 29% chance of becoming an NHL regular. If he makes it, figure about 33 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner2%
Middle-sixer8%
Fourth-liner29%
Tweener37%
AHLer (most likely)88%

How he got there

1His line
0.00 P/GP
0 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
0 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−3%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
33 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Hershey Bears	AHL	4	0	0	0	0.00
Last season	Hershey Bears	AHL	41	10	14	24	0.59