Prospect board, #610 overall
Alex Weiermair
Forward, 21.4 years old, Henderson Silver Knights (AHL), 6′1″ 213 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
17%
Scouting report
Alex Weiermair is a 21-year-old forward with Henderson Silver Knights in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.8 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up.
At 21.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 213 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 6% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner6%
- Middle-sixer9%
- Fourth-liner17%
- Tweener22%
- AHLer49%
How he got there
1His line
0.20 P/GP
1 G, 0 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
6 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+8%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
44 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Henderson Silver Knights | AHL | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0.20 |
| Last season | Portland Winterhawks | WHL | 66 | 37 | 56 | 93 | 1.41 |