Prospect board, #129 overall
Andrew Laurin
Right wing, 16.4 years old, Ottawa 67's (OHL), 6′1″ 176 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
54%
Scouting report
Andrew Laurin is a 16-year-old right wing with Ottawa 67's in the OHL. He has 4 goals and 3 assists in 10 games, 0.70 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
At 16.4 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 176 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a fourth-liner, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 54% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 12% of a first-line career and 5% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 40 points a season at his best. A fourth-line job tends to come from penalty killing and faceoffs more than from scoring.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite5%
- First-liner12%
- Middle-sixer23%
- Fourth-liner (most likely)54%
- Tweener58%
- AHLer69%
How he got there
1His line
0.70 P/GP
4 G, 3 A in 10 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
16.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
40 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Ottawa 67's | OHL | 10 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.70 |