Prospect board, #1754 overall
Andrew O'Neill
Centre, 19.6 years old, Edmonton Oil Kings (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
2%
Scouting report
Andrew O'Neill is a 19-year-old centre with Edmonton Oil Kings in the WHL, undrafted. He has 20 goals and 23 assists in 65 games, 0.66 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. The five best scorers around him average 1.25 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner2%
- Tweener2%
- AHLer24%
How he got there
1His line
0.66 P/GP
20 G, 23 A in 65 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−12%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Edmonton Oil Kings | WHL | 65 | 20 | 23 | 43 | 0.66 |