Angus Booth

Defence, 22.4 years old, Ontario Reign (AHL), 6′1″ 190 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

19%

AHLer

Scouting report

Angus Booth is a 22-year-old defenceman with Ontario Reign in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 2 assists in 5 games, 0.40 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 190 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
Top-pair<1%
Second-pair1%
Third-pair19%
Tweener33%
AHLer (most likely)89%

How he got there

1His line
0.40 P/GP
0 G, 2 A in 5 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
13 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
20 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
This season	Ontario Reign	AHL	5	0	2	2	0.40
Last season	Ontario Reign	AHL	61	1	17	18	0.30