GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1918 overall

Antoine Boudreau

Left wing, 20.2 years old, Charlottetown Islanders (QMJHL), 5′8″ 165 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

2%

Long shot

Scouting report

Antoine Boudreau is a 20-year-old left wing with Charlottetown Islanders in the QMJHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 5 assists in 13 games, 0.77 a game, which works out to about 7 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.54 a game last season. At 20.2 he is old for the league, so the model expects him to outscore younger players and gives less credit for it. Listed at 5-foot-8 and 165 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 2% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer1%
  4. Fourth-liner2%
  5. Tweener2%
  6. AHLer11%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.77 P/GP

    5 G, 5 A in 13 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    7 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +8%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    20.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    43 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonCharlottetown IslandersQMJHL1355100.77
Last seasonDrummondville VoltigeursQMJHL50918270.54