GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1321 overall

Antonio Martorana

Right wing, 19.2 years old, Seattle Thunderbirds (WHL)

Odds he's an NHL regular

5%

Long shot

Scouting report

Antonio Martorana is a 19-year-old right wing with Seattle Thunderbirds in the WHL, undrafted. He has 3 goals and 3 assists in 8 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 9 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.8 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 5% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner2%
  3. Middle-sixer2%
  4. Fourth-liner5%
  5. Tweener6%
  6. AHLer38%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.75 P/GP

    3 G, 3 A in 8 games, WHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    9 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +18%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.2

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    42 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL83360.75
Last seasonSeattle ThunderbirdsWHL632428520.83