Prospect board, #243 overall
Anton Wahlberg
Left wing, 21.2 years old, San Diego Gulls (AHL), 6′4″ 205 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
35%
Scouting report
Anton Wahlberg is a 21-year-old left wing with San Diego Gulls in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 6 assists in 7 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 32 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.7 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.
At 21.2 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-4 and 205 pounds. His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 35% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 6% of a first-line career. If he makes it, figure about 36 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner6%
- Middle-sixer12%
- Fourth-liner35%
- Tweener (most likely)52%
- AHLer95%+
How he got there
1His line
1.00 P/GP
1 G, 6 A in 7 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
32 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+16%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
21.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
36 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | San Diego Gulls | AHL | 7 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 1.00 |
| Last season | Rochester Americans | AHL | 68 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 0.54 |