Prospect board, #1749 overall
Arseny Pronin
Left wing, 19.3 years old, North Bay Battalion (OHL), 6′2″ 198 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
4%
Scouting report
Arseny Pronin is a 19-year-old left wing with North Bay Battalion in the OHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 3 assists in 11 games, 0.64 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.33 a game last season. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.81 points a game. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 198 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner4%
- Tweener6%
- AHLer13%
How he got there
1His line
0.64 P/GP
4 G, 3 A in 11 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+24%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
19.3
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | North Bay Battalion | OHL | 11 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 0.64 |
| Last season | North Bay Battalion | OHL | 42 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 0.33 |