Prospect board, #459 overall
Artem Duda
Defence, 22.4 years old, Tucson Roadrunners (AHL), 6′1″ 200 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
23%
Scouting report
Artem Duda is a 22-year-old defenceman with Tucson Roadrunners in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 2 assists in 6 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 16 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 200 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 23% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 4% of a top-pair career. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair4%
- Second-pair7%
- Third-pair23%
- Tweener38%
- AHLer (most likely)76%
How he got there
1His line
0.50 P/GP
1 G, 2 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
16 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+2%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
25 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Tucson Roadrunners | AHL | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0.50 |
| Last season | Tucson Roadrunners | AHL | 27 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 0.48 |