Prospect board, #1210 overall
Artem Grushnikov
Defence, 23.5 years old, Calgary Wranglers (AHL), 6′1″ 200 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
3%
Scouting report
Artem Grushnikov is a 23-year-old defenceman with Calgary Wranglers in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 55 games, 0.04 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 200 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 3% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- Top-pair<1%
- Second-pair<1%
- Third-pair3%
- Tweener4%
- AHLer (most likely)75%
How he got there
1His line
0.04 P/GP
1 G, 1 A in 55 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
1 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
No change
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
23.5
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
22 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Calgary Wranglers | AHL | 55 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0.04 |