Prospect board, #169 overall
Beckham Edwards
Centre, 18.7 years old, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 6′2″ 184 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
41%
Scouting report
Beckham Edwards is an 18-year-old centre with Sarnia Sting in the OHL. He has 19 goals and 26 assists in 64 games, 0.70 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.9 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. And the five best scorers around him average only 0.64 points a game. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 184 pounds.
His most likely outcome is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 41% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 8% of a first-line career and 7% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 42 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite7%
- First-liner8%
- Middle-sixer21%
- Fourth-liner41%
- Tweener (most likely)53%
- AHLer79%
How he got there
1His line
0.70 P/GP
19 G, 26 A in 64 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+27%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
18.7
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
42 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 64 | 19 | 26 | 45 | 0.70 |