GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #215 overall

Benjamin Veitch

Left wing, 16.9 years old, Newfoundland Regiment (QMJHL), 6′2″ 193 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

32%

AHLer

Scouting report

Benjamin Veitch is a 16-year-old left wing with Newfoundland Regiment in the QMJHL. He has 4 goals and 13 assists in 13 games, 1.31 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.36 a game last season.

At 16.9 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 193 pounds. His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 32% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 12% of a first-line career and 6% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 48 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite6%
  2. First-liner12%
  3. Middle-sixer19%
  4. Fourth-liner32%
  5. Tweener41%
  6. AHLer (most likely)64%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.31 P/GP

    4 G, 13 A in 13 games, QMJHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +4%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    16.9

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    48 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL13413171.31
Last seasonNewfoundland RegimentQMJHL581110210.36