GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #2173 overall

Blake Arrowsmith

Right wing, 19.4 years old, Soo Greyhounds (OHL), 6′1″ 195 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

1%

Long shot

Scouting report

Blake Arrowsmith is a 19-year-old right wing with Soo Greyhounds in the OHL, undrafted. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 31 games, 0.06 a game, which works out to about 1 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 195 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner1%
  5. Tweener3%
  6. AHLer7%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.06 P/GP

    1 G, 1 A in 31 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    1 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −8%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    33 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
Last seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL311120.06