GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #150 overall

Bogdan Yakushevsky

Right wing, 17.7 years old, Windsor Spitfires (OHL), 6′0″ 182 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

34%

Tweener

Scouting report

Bogdan Yakushevsky is a 17-year-old right wing with Windsor Spitfires in the OHL. He has 6 goals and 6 assists in 11 games, 1.09 a game, which works out to about 13 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. His team scores 3.4 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. Scoring without much help counts for more, so the model nudges him up. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 182 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a tweener, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 34% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 10% of a first-line career and 5% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 48 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite5%
  2. First-liner10%
  3. Middle-sixer24%
  4. Fourth-liner34%
  5. Tweener (most likely)65%
  6. AHLer77%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.09 P/GP

    6 G, 6 A in 11 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    13 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +11%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    17.7

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    48 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonWindsor SpitfiresOHL1166121.09