Prospect board, #584 overall
Borya Valis
Forward, 22.4 years old, Toronto Marlies (AHL), 6′2″ 204 lb, shoots right
Odds he's an NHL regular
19%
Scouting report
Borya Valis is a 22-year-old forward with Toronto Marlies in the AHL. He has 0 goals and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.17 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 3.7 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.39 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 204 pounds.
The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 19% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner1%
- Middle-sixer4%
- Fourth-liner19%
- Tweener28%
- AHLer (most likely)87%
How he got there
1His line
0.17 P/GP
0 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−21%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
22.4
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
30 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Toronto Marlies | AHL | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0.17 |
| Last season | Toronto Marlies | AHL | 60 | 15 | 10 | 25 | 0.42 |