GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1251 overall

Boston Buckberger

Defence, 23.3 years old, Cleveland Monsters (AHL), 6′0″ 194 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

10%

Long shot

Scouting report

Boston Buckberger is a 23-year-old defenceman with Cleveland Monsters in the AHL. He has 1 goal and 1 assist in 6 games, 0.33 a game, which works out to about 11 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.0 a game, one of the better offences around. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 194 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 10% chance of becoming an NHL regular. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. Top-pair<1%
  3. Second-pair<1%
  4. Third-pair10%
  5. Tweener11%
  6. AHLer31%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.33 P/GP

    1 G, 1 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    11 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −13%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    23.3

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    21 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonCleveland MonstersAHL61120.33