GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #608 overall

Brady Martin

Centre, 19.5 years old, Milwaukee Admirals (AHL), 6′0″ 193 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

21%

Long shot

Scouting report

Brady Martin is a 19-year-old centre with Milwaukee Admirals in the AHL. He has 3 goals and 0 assists in 4 games, 0.75 a game, which works out to about 24 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 2.5 a game, below the league, and much less when he is not the one scoring. He's producing without much support, and the model bumps him up for it.

At 19.5 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 193 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, on a small sample. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 21% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 7% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a small sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner7%
  3. Middle-sixer7%
  4. Fourth-liner21%
  5. Tweener28%
  6. AHLer35%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.75 P/GP

    3 G, 0 A in 4 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    24 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +25%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    39 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonMilwaukee AdmiralsAHL43030.75
Last seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL24816241.00