GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1719 overall

Brady Smith

Centre, 19.4 years old, Soo Greyhounds (OHL), 6′0″ 187 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

4%

Long shot

Scouting report

Brady Smith is a 19-year-old centre with Soo Greyhounds in the OHL, undrafted. He has 5 goals and 2 assists in 11 games, 0.64 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.34 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 187 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 4% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer<1%
  4. Fourth-liner4%
  5. Tweener5%
  6. AHLer19%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.64 P/GP

    5 G, 2 A in 11 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    8 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    +7%

    Credit for a weak offence or thin help

  4. 4Age

    19.4

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    29 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL115270.64
Last seasonSoo GreyhoundsOHL671013230.34