GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #691 overall

Braeden Cootes

Centre, 19.6 years old, Abbotsford Canucks (AHL), 5′11″ 183 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

16%

Long shot

Scouting report

Braeden Cootes is a 19-year-old centre with Abbotsford Canucks in the AHL. He has 3 goals and 3 assists in 6 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 32 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.

At 19.6 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 5-foot-11 and 183 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 16% chance of becoming an NHL regular and 6% of a first-line career. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite1%
  2. First-liner6%
  3. Middle-sixer7%
  4. Fourth-liner16%
  5. Tweener18%
  6. AHLer42%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    3 G, 3 A in 6 games, AHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    32 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −4%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    19.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Passed over, read as a pick after the last one

  6. 6If he makes it

    43 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonAbbotsford CanucksAHL63361.00
Last seasonPrince Albert RaidersWHL452439631.40