GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #385 overall

Brayden Bennett

Centre, 17.6 years old, Sudbury Wolves (OHL), 6′0″ 193 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

24%

AHLer

Scouting report

Brayden Bennett is a 17-year-old centre with Sudbury Wolves in the OHL. He has 1 goal and 0 assists in 5 games, 0.20 a game, which works out to about 2 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. His team scores 4.3 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.40 points a game, well above the norm. Some of those points come from the company he keeps, and the model discounts them. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 193 pounds.

His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 24% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 5% of a first-line career and 2% of turning into one of the league's best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite2%
  2. First-liner5%
  3. Middle-sixer15%
  4. Fourth-liner24%
  5. Tweener36%
  6. AHLer (most likely)59%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.20 P/GP

    1 G, 0 A in 5 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    2 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −18%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    17.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    43 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonSudbury WolvesOHL51010.20
Last seasonSudbury WolvesOHL6449130.20