Prospect board, #2094 overall
Brennan Brown
Centre, 19.6 years old, Calgary Hitmen (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
1%
Scouting report
Brennan Brown is a 19-year-old centre with Calgary Hitmen in the WHL, undrafted. He has 4 goals and 0 assists in 9 games, 0.44 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.16 a game last season. His team scores 4.1 a game, one of the better offences around. And the five best scorers around him average 1.28 points a game, well above the norm. Linemates like that pad a stat line, so the model takes some of his points back.
The model's median outcome for him is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 1% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite<1%
- First-liner<1%
- Middle-sixer<1%
- Fourth-liner1%
- Tweener1%
- AHLer15%
How he got there
1His line
0.44 P/GP
4 G, 0 A in 9 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−17%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
19.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
36 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Calgary Hitmen | WHL | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0.44 |
| Last season | Swift Current Broncos | WHL | 61 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0.16 |