Prospect board, #119 overall
Brenner Lammens
Centre, 17.0 years old, Sarnia Sting (OHL), 6′1″ 195 lb, shoots left
Odds he's an NHL regular
43%
Scouting report
Brenner Lammens is a 17-year-old centre with Sarnia Sting in the OHL. He has 5 goals and 3 assists in 12 games, 0.67 a game, which works out to about 8 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is goals. That is up from 0.31 a game last season.
At 17.0 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. Listed at 6-foot-1 and 195 pounds. The model's median outcome for him is a tweener, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 43% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 16% of a first-line career and 8% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 47 points a season at his best. His odds move most with next season's line, so a big jump would matter more than a repeat.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite8%
- First-liner16%
- Middle-sixer25%
- Fourth-liner43%
- Tweener (most likely)58%
- AHLer75%
How he got there
1His line
0.67 P/GP
5 G, 3 A in 12 games, OHL
2League exchange rate
8 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−7%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
17.0
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
47 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 12 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 0.67 |
| Last season | Sarnia Sting | OHL | 59 | 9 | 9 | 18 | 0.31 |