Brett Harrison

Right wing, 23.2 years old, Lehigh Valley Phantoms (AHL), 6′2″ 201 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

17%

AHLer

Scouting report

Brett Harrison is a 23-year-old right wing with Lehigh Valley Phantoms in the AHL. He has 10 goals and 11 assists in 58 games, 0.36 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Listed at 6-foot-2 and 201 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 17% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

Elite<1%
First-liner1%
Middle-sixer2%
Fourth-liner17%
Tweener24%
AHLer (most likely)93%

How he got there

1His line
0.36 P/GP
10 G, 11 A in 58 games, AHL
2League exchange rate
12 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+8%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
23.2
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Passed over, read as a pick after the last one
6If he makes it
29 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

Season	Team	League	GP	G	A	P	P/GP
Last season	Lehigh Valley Phantoms	AHL	58	10	11	21	0.36