Prospect board, #773 overall
Brett Olson
Centre, 18.6 years old, Vancouver Giants (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
11%
Scouting report
Brett Olson is an 18-year-old centre with Vancouver Giants in the WHL. He has 0 goals and 4 assists in 10 games, 0.40 a game, which works out to about 5 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate.
His most likely outcome is an AHLer, with plenty of games behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him an 11% chance of becoming an NHL regular. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a full sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite1%
- First-liner3%
- Middle-sixer6%
- Fourth-liner11%
- Tweener15%
- AHLer (most likely)56%
How he got there
1His line
0.40 P/GP
0 G, 4 A in 10 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
5 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
−2%
Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster
4Age
18.6
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
44 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Vancouver Giants | WHL | 10 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0.40 |
| Last season | Vancouver Giants | WHL | 68 | 11 | 19 | 30 | 0.44 |