GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #264 overall

Brock Chitaroni

Right wing, 17.6 years old, Ottawa 67's (OHL), 6′0″ 188 lb, shoots right

Odds he's an NHL regular

32%

AHLer

Scouting report

Brock Chitaroni is a 17-year-old right wing with Ottawa 67's in the OHL. He has 2 goals and 8 assists in 10 games, 1.00 a game, which works out to about 12 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.40 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 188 pounds.

The model's median outcome for him is an AHLer, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 32% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 6% of a first-line career and 4% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 40 points a season at his best. A big step next season would change these odds more than anything else.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite4%
  2. First-liner6%
  3. Middle-sixer14%
  4. Fourth-liner32%
  5. Tweener44%
  6. AHLer (most likely)71%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    1.00 P/GP

    2 G, 8 A in 10 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    12 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −2%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    17.6

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    40 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonOttawa 67'sOHL1028101.00
Last seasonOttawa 67'sOHL601014240.40