Prospect board, #37 overall
Brock Cripps
Defence, 17.1 years old, Prince Albert Raiders (WHL)
Odds he's an NHL regular
66%
Scouting report
Brock Cripps is a 17-year-old defenceman with Prince Albert Raiders in the WHL. He has 1 goal and 9 assists in 11 games, 0.91 a game, which works out to about 10 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. Most of it is setting up other people. That is up from 0.60 a game last season.
At 17.1 he is among the youngest regulars in the league, and age matters more than any single stat in these projections. His most likely outcome is a third-pair defenceman, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 66% chance of becoming an NHL regular, 33% of a top-pair career and 14% of turning into one of the league's best. If he makes it, figure about 39 points a season at his best. This is a points model, so it can't see what he does without the puck. A third-pair job tends to come down to defending more than points.
Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.
His odds
His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.
- Elite14%
- Top-pair33%
- Second-pair46%
- Third-pair (most likely)66%
- Tweener80%
- AHLer85%
How he got there
1His line
0.91 P/GP
1 G, 9 A in 11 games, WHL
2League exchange rate
11 pts
NHL-equivalent points over 82
3Team around him
+13%
Credit for a weak offence or thin help
4Age
17.1
On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20
5Draft slot
None
Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers
6If he makes it
39 pts
Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars
Season lines
| Season | Team | League | GP | G | A | P | P/GP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | Prince Albert Raiders | WHL | 11 | 1 | 9 | 10 | 0.91 |
| Last season | Prince Albert Raiders | WHL | 62 | 6 | 31 | 37 | 0.60 |