GRIT & GF

Prospect board, #1138 overall

Bryson Morgan

Centre, 18.5 years old, Flint Firebirds (OHL), 6′0″ 182 lb, shoots left

Odds he's an NHL regular

6%

Long shot

Scouting report

Bryson Morgan is an 18-year-old centre with Flint Firebirds in the OHL. He has 0 goals and 4 assists in 8 games, 0.50 a game, which works out to about 6 NHL points over 82 at his league's exchange rate. That is up from 0.20 a game last season. Listed at 6-foot-0 and 182 pounds.

His most likely outcome is a long shot, with a fair sample behind it. Players drafted from 2010 to 2017 with numbers like his give him a 6% chance of becoming an NHL regular. Few players with numbers like these made it, though some did.

Written by the model from his numbers, on a fair sample. prospects-0.3.

His odds

His chance of reaching at least each tier, from 2010 to 2017 draft picks with a line, age like his. The highest tier where he's at even odds or better is his likeliest outcome.

  1. Elite<1%
  2. First-liner<1%
  3. Middle-sixer3%
  4. Fourth-liner6%
  5. Tweener18%
  6. AHLer33%

How he got there

  1. 1His line

    0.50 P/GP

    0 G, 4 A in 8 games, OHL

  2. 2League exchange rate

    6 pts

    NHL-equivalent points over 82

  3. 3Team around him

    −11%

    Discount for a strong offence or stacked roster

  4. 4Age

    18.5

    On 15 September. The same line is worth more at 17 than at 20

  5. 5Draft slot

    None

    Not yet eligible, judged on his numbers

  6. 6If he makes it

    38 pts

    Peak points per 82 for players like him who became regulars

Season lines

SeasonTeamLeagueGPGAPP/GP
This seasonFlint FirebirdsOHL80440.50
Last seasonFlint FirebirdsOHL5137100.20